16.8 MI AWAY
Menu

Elliot Abrams

Stormy Day in the Northeast
Stormy Day in the Northeast
November 26, 2014; 8:31 AM

Along I95, rain ruled through midmorning while marshmallows of wet snow changed the gray November landscape to winter white very fast inland. I told Sam The Dog about the snow before it started in the middle of Pennsylvania. He was taking a wait-and-see attitude.
Northeast: Snow, Sleet, Rain to Cause Travel Trouble
Northeast: Snow, Sleet, Rain to Cause Travel Trouble
November 25, 2014; 7:44 AM

The profile here is for New York City at 1 p.m. tomorrow. We see it is forecast to be just above freezing near the ground. Will big wet flakes make to the ground or will they melt into rain drops? Or will there be a mix? It's a very close call call.
Spring-Style Surge Followed by Wintry Snow Threat
Spring-Style Surge Followed by Wintry Snow Threat
November 24, 2014; 10:35 AM

This pressure map shows the strong circulation around the storm that brought all the warm air northward... and which will force colder air eastward next.
In Store Next: Winter Rollback
In Store Next: Winter Rollback
November 21, 2014; 8:12 AM

Looking at next week, the GFS ensemble spaghetti plot of upper air winds shows how much agreement there is among members of the ensemble (same model running multiple times using slightly different starting assumptions). The maps are from next Tuesday, Nov. 25, and Thanksgiving Day, Nov. 27. There is good agreement on the first map, but a lot of spread two days later.
Great Lakes and Northeast: Milder Air Coming
Great Lakes and Northeast: Milder Air Coming
November 20, 2014; 11:13 AM

The location of lake-effect snow bands is tightly controlled by geography, topography and wind. From this pressure analysis, we see why the wind favored heavy snow staying south of the hardest hit Buffalo snow belts earlier today.
Great Lakes and Northeast: Warmup Spreads East This Weekend
Great Lakes and Northeast: Warmup Spreads East This Weekend
November 19, 2014; 8:18 AM

If this timing works out, there would be good travel weather for the Northeast Corridor on Wednesday while snow showers cross the Great Lakes and reach the northern and central Appalachians.
SNOvember Storm Slams SNOwbelt
SNOvember Storm Slams SNOwbelt
November 18, 2014; 10:11 AM

This map from one of my tweets yesterday (accuElliot) showed the wind direction most favorable for heavy lake-effect snow in and near Buffalo. Just a minute change in direction greatly affects the location of the heaviest snow, almost as if you were operating a fire hose. The snow is so deep (more than 4 feet in spots and deepening) that officials were considering the use of high lift equipment to extract vehicles.
Great Lakes and Northeast: More Cold Next Week
Great Lakes and Northeast: More Cold Next Week
November 14, 2014; 9:24 AM

It suggests rain in the I-95 corridor and snow from the mountains of West Virginia and Pennsylvania to southwestern Maine. Other models and ensemble versions will be examined this weekend as we narrow down the uncertainties associated with this fast-moving storm. Whatever the form of precipitation, you can count on another shot of cold air behind it. Lake-effect snow will be common as well.
I 95 Corridor: Slippery Places Late Tonight?
I 95 Corridor: Slippery Places Late Tonight?
November 13, 2014; 7:16 AM

I can see how slippery spots can develop from Philadelphia's northern and western suburbs on northeastward. The highest amounts of snow may be from Boston's western and northern suburbs on through Portsmouth, Portland and Augusta. Some spots could get 3-4 inches. Be ready for a slow commute tomorrow morning. If these problems develop, they could occur rather suddenly.
Warmth to Fold as Cold Takes Hold
Warmth to Fold as Cold Takes Hold
November 12, 2014; 10:03 AM

Of course, once it gets cold, the question is when or if it will snow. A weak low pressure area may form along the Northeast coast tomorrow night, perhaps causing patchy rain that mixes with or changes to snow at the end. That scenario is represented by the map that follows today's video.

Bloggers

Elliot Abrams
Brett Anderson
Jim Andrews
Jim Dickey
Jesse Ferrell
Eric Leister
Joe Lundberg
Henry Margusity
Mark Paquette
Frank Strait
Hunting Fishing
Driving
Allergies
Common Cold Flu
Aches & Pains
Do It Yourself Projects
Flying
Mobile Site Map
Press Help Terms Privacy