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Elliot Abrams

Weekend Showers in the Northeast
Weekend Showers in the Northeast
July 31, 2014; 8:19 AM

The surface pressure pattern looks chaotic today, with a multitude of trough lines. A few of these can be caused by glitches in the data, but any of the real ones could be all that's required to organize a short band of showers or thunderstorms. However, these features tend to change character with time, or they disappear and new ones pop up.
DC to Boston: Fine Until Friday, Then Showery
DC to Boston: Fine Until Friday, Then Showery
July 30, 2014; 7:34 AM

Here's a cool fact: even when Death Valley, California, has a temperature of 110 or 120 degrees, you only have to go up a little more than 3.5 miles to find temperatures at or below freezing.
Missing: Midsummer Heat in the Great Lakes and Northeast
Missing: Midsummer Heat in the Great Lakes and Northeast
July 29, 2014; 7:04 AM

It appears the dry comfortable air mass now in the Northeast will be replaced by a humid flow from the South Atlantic states for the coming weekend. An upper-air forecast map sequence in the video shows how this could happen. The following map shows the predicted flow from Florida to New Jersey Friday night.
Cooler Air Spreads From the Great Lakes Into the Northeast
Cooler Air Spreads From the Great Lakes Into the Northeast
July 28, 2014; 7:13 AM

This map shows the pressure analysis for the Northeast and Great Lakes. The gusty flow on the west side of the low pressure area adds a real autumn feel to the air.
Settled to Unsettled in the Northeast This Weekend
Settled to Unsettled in the Northeast This Weekend
July 25, 2014; 6:32 AM

Since individual lines and clusters of thunderstorms have limited life spans and change character constantly, forecasting whether it will or won't rain at any one time this weekend is difficult at best. One solution is to have your tablet or phone available with the AccuWeather.com app so you can see where all the storms are at the times when it concerns you the most.
Northeast: Sunshine Then Thunder This Weekend
Northeast: Sunshine Then Thunder This Weekend
July 24, 2014; 6:53 AM

It does look warmer for the weekend, but every time the warm air tries to extend into New England it gets chopped down. There could be more showers at times Sunday and early next week as forest we can tell. If any forecast gives you a headache, why not take a friend's advice: Take two aspen; sequoia in the morning.
Northeast: Hotter Today, Then Cooler
Northeast: Hotter Today, Then Cooler
July 23, 2014; 8:29 AM

This map from 5AM ET shows the cold front that is continuing toward this Northeast and Middle Atlantic states. Temperatures stayed up in the 70s all night ahead of the front but it turned noticeably cooler after the front moved through.
Hotter, Then Cooler From Chicago to Philadelphia
Hotter, Then Cooler From Chicago to Philadelphia
July 22, 2014; 7:20 AM

The cold front that will cut off the heat will generate strong gusty thunderstorms as it moves southeastward today. The National Weather Service Storm Prediction Center highlights the most likely area for these severe thunderstorms today and tonight.
Northeast: Warmth and Humidity Increase Until Midweek
Northeast: Warmth and Humidity Increase Until Midweek
July 21, 2014; 8:21 AM

As the high pressure area in the Northeast moves away, the the southwesterly flow pattern will shift eastward. This means Wednesday could be the hottest day of the week from D.C. to Boston. A cold front will follow.
July Makes a Comeback
July Makes a Comeback
July 18, 2014; 7:26 AM

This is a satellite picture showing rather tame conditions off the South Atlantic coast at 7:45 AM ET today. The area is being watched for any signs of storm development.

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