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Elliot Abrams

Halloween Turns Colder From Lake Erie to Cape Fear
Halloween Turns Colder From Lake Erie to Cape Fear
October 30, 2014; 8:32 AM

Note how far south snow is being predicted, but how no accumulation is indicated for the cities from DC to Boston. This apparently happens because the cold air rushes south, but by the time it reaches the East Coast, the storm developing over the ocean is too far east to cause any snow in the major cities.
Northeast Snow Chances This Weekend?
Northeast Snow Chances This Weekend?
October 29, 2014; 7:17 AM

A storm will form along second cold front. Its track and strength will determine when, where and if any snow will fall along the Northeast coast. The forecast video follows. After that, I show the GFS snowfall map from last night. It suggests no snow accumulations for the cities between D.C. and Boston. Stay with AccuWeather.com as the story unfolds. The north Georgia mountains may get snow before Buffalo does.
Record Warmth to November Chill
Record Warmth to November Chill
October 28, 2014; 10:11 AM

Here is that map. With borderline temperatures and great uncertainty on precipitation placement and amounts, the I-95 corridor from Maryland to Maine could have anything ranging from zero snow (and comments like "Where's all that snow they promised?") to the first accumulations of the season.
Northeast: Warmer, Then Colder This Week
Northeast: Warmer, Then Colder This Week
October 27, 2014; 7:35 AM

This map shows the pressure pattern as of 8 a.m. ET today (Monday, Oct. 27, 2014). A northwesterly flow is still in place across New England, but with weather systems moving steadily eastward, a southwesterly flow of warmer air is on the way.
Northeast: Trending Drier and Milder
Northeast: Trending Drier and Milder
October 24, 2014; 8:21 AM

All foliage colors have peaked across much of the interior sections of New York and New England, but this weekend will offer plenty of dazzling color farther south. This barn and wooded hillside scene was photographed 4 miles west of State College, Pennsylvania, this week.
I-95 Corridor: Rain and Wind
I-95 Corridor: Rain and Wind
October 22, 2014; 9:22 AM

A storm strengthening off the Middle Atlantic coast will cause episodes of rain and cool gusty winds from Maryland to Maine. The heaviest rain today is focused on the Washington, D.C., to New York City area. Later tonight and tomorrow, the heaviest rain and strongest winds (gusts of 30-40 mph) should spread northeastward across New England. As the storm slowly departs, the weather will improve from southwest to northeast. This map shows the circulation around the storm as of 9 a.m. ET.
Northeast: Getting Wetter Before it is Getting Better
Northeast: Getting Wetter Before it is Getting Better
October 21, 2014; 7:35 AM

The reason for this is a growing and then stalling storm aloft. This map shows the predicted circulation around the storm on Wednesday evening, showing how the moisture could keep going round and round until the storm leaves.
New England to Turn Rainy
New England to Turn Rainy
October 20, 2014; 8:12 AM

This mornng, showers were moving across the lower Great Lakes region. A band of thunderstorms developed near Chicago before 6:30 a.m. CT and reached the southwest Michigan shoreline an hour later (8:30 a.m. ET). The following maps show the shower zone and Chicago area lightning.
Chicago to New York City: Autumn Chill Coming This Weekend
Chicago to New York City: Autumn Chill Coming This Weekend
October 17, 2014; 7:18 AM

The tropics have been more active recently. This map shows various entities that area being tracked and analyzed. Hurricane Gonzalo stands out clearly.
Heavy Rain Moves Toward Eastern New England
Heavy Rain Moves Toward Eastern New England
October 16, 2014; 8:27 AM

A couple of days ago, the storm entering the East had a stronger circulation than it does now. Here is the pressure analysis from earlier this morning. Several minor disturbance can be seen, and trough lines representing those have been sketched on the map. Note that there is little difference in temperature from western Pennsylvania to Wisconsin.

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