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Elliot Abrams

Northeast: Trending Drier and Milder
Northeast: Trending Drier and Milder
October 24, 2014; 8:21 AM

All foliage colors have peaked across much of the interior sections of New York and New England, but this weekend will offer plenty of dazzling color farther south. This barn and wooded hillside scene was photographed 4 miles west of State College, Pennsylvania, this week.
I-95 Corridor: Rain and Wind
I-95 Corridor: Rain and Wind
October 22, 2014; 9:22 AM

A storm strengthening off the Middle Atlantic coast will cause episodes of rain and cool gusty winds from Maryland to Maine. The heaviest rain today is focused on the Washington, D.C., to New York City area. Later tonight and tomorrow, the heaviest rain and strongest winds (gusts of 30-40 mph) should spread northeastward across New England. As the storm slowly departs, the weather will improve from southwest to northeast. This map shows the circulation around the storm as of 9 a.m. ET.
Northeast: Getting Wetter Before it is Getting Better
Northeast: Getting Wetter Before it is Getting Better
October 21, 2014; 7:35 AM

The reason for this is a growing and then stalling storm aloft. This map shows the predicted circulation around the storm on Wednesday evening, showing how the moisture could keep going round and round until the storm leaves.
New England to Turn Rainy
New England to Turn Rainy
October 20, 2014; 8:12 AM

This mornng, showers were moving across the lower Great Lakes region. A band of thunderstorms developed near Chicago before 6:30 a.m. CT and reached the southwest Michigan shoreline an hour later (8:30 a.m. ET). The following maps show the shower zone and Chicago area lightning.
Chicago to New York City: Autumn Chill Coming This Weekend
Chicago to New York City: Autumn Chill Coming This Weekend
October 17, 2014; 7:18 AM

The tropics have been more active recently. This map shows various entities that area being tracked and analyzed. Hurricane Gonzalo stands out clearly.
Heavy Rain Moves Toward Eastern New England
Heavy Rain Moves Toward Eastern New England
October 16, 2014; 8:27 AM

A couple of days ago, the storm entering the East had a stronger circulation than it does now. Here is the pressure analysis from earlier this morning. Several minor disturbance can be seen, and trough lines representing those have been sketched on the map. Note that there is little difference in temperature from western Pennsylvania to Wisconsin.
Heavy Rain Band Aims for I-95 Corridor
Heavy Rain Band Aims for I-95 Corridor
October 15, 2014; 10:21 AM

The rain band is only 100-200 miles wide, but it is moving slowly. This map shows its location at 10 a.m. today. Once the main rain band passes, it won't be quite as warm as it was when the rain started. However, by mid-October standard, it will still be mild.
Northeast: Warmer, Then Wetter
Northeast: Warmer, Then Wetter
October 14, 2014; 9:31 AM

On some days, there are so many "little things" that it is difficult to identify the players. Today, we see two systems dominating: the low pressure area on the left (west) and the high pressure area to the right (east). The cold front associated with the low pressure area is helping to support bands of rain.
Severe Weather Threat Illinois to Louisiana; East Coast to Turn Milder
Severe Weather Threat Illinois to Louisiana; East Coast to Turn Milder
October 13, 2014; 7:42 AM

One branch of the flow will go from Oregon and northern California eastward to the Plains, then it will go around the south side of the storm we have been talking about. A second branch of the flow will run from British Columbia northeastward to northern Hudson Bay. Cold air will be north of that current...which means it won't be anywhere near the eastern U.S. later this week.
I-95 Corridor: Rain Friday Night; Dry Most of Weekend
I-95 Corridor: Rain Friday Night; Dry Most of Weekend
October 09, 2014; 7:44 AM

It seems late in the season for tropical storm activity, but remember Sandy came late in October two years ago, causing heavy snow in the West Virginia and western Maryland mountains and disastrous effects from New Jersey to southern New England.

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