Rainstorm, Part of Karen Aim for East Coast
October 09, 2013; 4:52 AM
A storm is forecast to slowly spin up along the mid-Atlantic coast through the balance of the week and will gather some of Karen's lingering moisture.
Forecasts along the Atlantic Seaboard and the I-95 corridor later this week into the coming weekend are contingent upon the movement of that storm and dry air to the north and west.
Rain and windy conditions could spread northward from the Carolinas to the I-95 mid-Atlantic spanning Wednesday to Friday, after a dry day and sunshine follow Monday's heavy rain and storms.
Drenching, windswept rain was occurring over the eastern part of North and South Carolina Tuesday and will continue into Wednesday. Folks in Charleston and Myrtle Beach, S.C., and Wilmington to the Outer Banks, N.C., are in for a couple of wet days.
There will be an area of dry air in the way of the coastal storm farther north, but that is likely to be eroded away Wednesday and Thursday.
Much to the delight of people along the Gulf Coast, Karen weakened before getting too close over the weekend to cause major problems from winds and seas.
According to Hurricane Expert Dan Kottlowski, "Strong winds well above the sea surface ripped the storm apart and dry air to the north choked off what was left of the system."
A small amount moisture from Karen managed to drift northward along the Atlantic Seaboard as a cool front approached Monday.
"Most of Karen's moisture headed to the east Monday and will congregate along East Coast waters during the mid- to late-week," Kottlowski added.
The storm system and its rain may have no place to go but north for a time during the second half of the week. At the end of the week that rain may get stuck around the Northeast or be shunted out to sea by a new push of dry air from the west.
The rain could stop short of much of New England.
Indications are that the storm will not get very strong and may be like a weak nor'easter for cities from Norfolk, Va., to Atlantic City, N.Y., and New York City.
For these areas, it may be more of nuisance rather than a system to cause extensive damage from rain, wind and seas.
Rain could reach farther inland to Washington, D.C., Philadelphia and Hartford, Conn.
The storm and the modest east-to-northeast winds it generates on the coast would occur during or just prior to the first-quarter stage of the moon.
Tide levels at this phase of the moon are not significant. The full moon and significant astronomical tides do not occur until Oct. 16 to 18.