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Flood Threat Remains for Philippines From Peipah

April 13, 2014; 12:59 AM

Despite Peipah weakening, the threat of widespread flash flooding still exists across the Philippines.

Strong wind shear has resulted in Peipah weakening below tropical depression status; however, it will retain a central area of low pressure as it approaches the Philippines.

Peipah is expected to slow its forward speed as the center of circulation will not reach the eastern Philippines until Sunday at the earliest.

This slow movement will lead to several days of locally heavy rainfall across the eastern Philippines, with far northeast Mindanao and eastern Visayas bearing the brunt of the storm through the weekend.

Worsening the situation is the concern that Rainstorm Peipah will then stall in the vicinity of eastern Visayas early next week. Flooding will become a more widespread problem if this occurs as torrential rain will continue for several days across Visayas and eastern Luzon. Mudslides may ensue in the higher terrain.

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"At this point, it looks as if rainfall through early next week will approach 200 mm (8 inches) in some locations with an average of 50 to 100 mm (2 to 4 inches) being more common," stated AccuWeather.com Meteorologist Anthony Sagliani.

Even though the heaviest rainfall is expected to remain south and east of Manila, daily showers and thunderstorms will be possible through the weekend before heavier rainfall targets the city early next week.

Only isolated wind damage will unfold in thunderstorms as Peipah is expected to remain in a weakened state as it approaches the Philippines.

Meteorologist Eric Leister contributed to this story.

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